# How to predict the market

> Well, we don't know how to predict the market either lul.

But we will let you know how to play the prediction market on Starfish😊.

### A. Preparation <a href="#id-511d" id="id-511d"></a>

**A1. Connect Wallet, and choose your network, Arbitrum One or Astar Network.**

**A2. Wait for the next round to start and commit your tokens to play.**

<figure><img src="https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:1120/1*qx6825Yx5H1LUvZBojf2sg.png" alt=""><figcaption><p>Every new round will not start until the settlement of the last round is completed.</p></figcaption></figure>

The initial stage of the Starfish Prediction Market will support BTC/USD market. As the development progresses and community request, our team will onboard more trading pairs on to Prediction Market in the future.

<figure><img src="https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:1120/1*5XJmd3ZUxkPzxaZ93iAUwQ.png" alt=""><figcaption><p>Switch Market is coming soon</p></figcaption></figure>

### B. Predict the trend <a href="#e336" id="e336"></a>

**B1. Prediction the next round (Round #10293)**

<figure><img src="https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:1120/1*VCjFRZl0dpEcx3eA6hqoag.png" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

Now it’s your time to play!

In the “Next” section, you’ll see a green **UP** button and a red **DOWN** button. Press **UP,** if you expect a rise in the $BTC price, or press **DOWN** otherwise.

<figure><img src="https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:1120/1*1lgNFMDT6dPxL3tbvk8t1w.png" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

Each outcome has a different reward multiplier. The multiplier will change over time as the “Prize Pool” increases depending on the contributions of the participants.

> ⚠️ Pay attention to the timer. Each round is open for 5 minutes/300 seconds. Make sure you press in time before the time’s up!

**B2. After you press ‘UP’ or ‘DOWN’, input the amount of tokens you wish to commit.**

<figure><img src="https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:1120/1*gflYJHZpNhFh_0ezhXt5bg.png" alt=""><figcaption><p>Input commitment</p></figcaption></figure>

Then, you are set to go! Click the **Play** button and follow the instructions of your wallet, and your game will be recorded on the blockchain!

**B3. After your transaction confirmation, you can see a summary of your prediction here.**

<figure><img src="https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:1120/1*B8kihpPl6qoHm0V4l8rtBw.png" alt=""><figcaption><p>Good luck!</p></figcaption></figure>

### C. The Settlement <a href="#id-23cc" id="id-23cc"></a>

**C1. Watch the live settlement (Round #10293) & See the results.**

<figure><img src="https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:1120/1*UQWiRPRaTfrwx0pScBkZxg.png" alt=""><figcaption><p>All eyes on there please!</p></figcaption></figure>

The settlement will last for 5 minutes. You can watch the price update for five minutes if you like;)

<figure><img src="https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:1120/1*-Egk3Wz6mAYRbIM5exvrHQ.png" alt=""><figcaption><p>The card will change automatically based on the price performance</p></figcaption></figure>

As the five-minute window finishes, the “IN SETTLEMENT” section will change to “Calculating”. Calculating the results only takes a snap of fingers.

The settled round will move down in the result list and marked as “SETTLED”. The result of each round will be displayed with either a GREEN UP, or a RED DOWN.

**C2. Collect your prize.**

<figure><img src="https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:1120/1*T8NkpnmKn7qnv99c0jg_XA.png" alt=""><figcaption><p>The reward pop-up</p></figcaption></figure>

If you win your round, you can click **Collect Prize** button on the top right corner, and a pop-up window will show up. It shows the entire game history of a player. Click **Claim All** to move them into your wallet! 😍

**C3. Recent game history.**

<figure><img src="https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:1120/1*mOgHEQV9wS2Fsa7wg2LmBw.png" alt=""><figcaption><p>The recent game history pop-up</p></figcaption></figure>

Click on **VIEW MORE** in the Game History panel to open the pop-up window. You can check the past 10 finished games there.

### Good Luck Winning! <a href="#id-1e22" id="id-1e22"></a>


---

# Agent Instructions: Querying This Documentation

If you need additional information that is not directly available in this page, you can query the documentation dynamically by asking a question.

Perform an HTTP GET request on the current page URL with the `ask` query parameter:

```
GET https://docs.starfish.finance/entertainment-fi/the-prediction-market/how-to-predict-the-market.md?ask=<question>
```

The question should be specific, self-contained, and written in natural language.
The response will contain a direct answer to the question and relevant excerpts and sources from the documentation.

Use this mechanism when the answer is not explicitly present in the current page, you need clarification or additional context, or you want to retrieve related documentation sections.